{"id":15738,"date":"2010-11-29T11:50:52","date_gmt":"2010-11-29T10:50:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/strategie\/owner-or-lender\/"},"modified":"2010-11-29T11:50:52","modified_gmt":"2010-11-29T10:50:52","slug":"owner-or-lender","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/strategie\/owner-or-lender\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00abOwner or lender?\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"post_excerpt\">Will it be better to invest in equities or bonds in 2011?<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\n<br \/>Will it be better to invest in equities or bonds in 2011? Growth prospects in emerging countries are strong and the US economy is improving gradually, so, coupled with the renewed monetary stimulus, we have a positive outlook for financial assets, especially equities. This combination should favour shareholders over debt holders in 2011. We expect a gradual economic recovery in the G7, but Pandora\u2019s box may have been opened, letting loose risks upon the world<\/p>\n<p><strong>Asian and emerging countries to lead sustained growth in 2011<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>According to the macroeconomic analysis of Patrice Gautry, UBP\u2019s Chief Economist, Asia will remain the world\u2019s most dynamic economic region. A structural growth trend is in place in emerging countries, underpinned by domestic consumption and investment. Although long-lasting adjustments are likely to hold back the G7 economies, loose financial conditions should support a progressive recovery in credit and<br \/>\nrestore a more consistent trend in consumer spending. Three countries continue to appear as regional champions in terms of their contribution to world GDP and exports, namely the United States, Germany and<br \/>\nChina.<\/p>\n<p>In the midst of this gradual recovery, 2011 should see a stronger, but lop-sided economic world. \u201cThe global economy remains unbalanced, with a string of recurrent crisis. Economic policy will be a major source of risk in 2011 and should be less synchronised than in the past\u201d, said Patrice Gautry. Central banks have opened Pandora\u2019s box, unleashing risks upon the world economy. He continued, \u201cAs we emerge from the<br \/>\nfinancial crisis, the economy is drawing strength from the corporate world.\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Investment strategy: monetary policies should favour equities<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>UBP\u2019s investment strategy takes into account the prevailing major economic trends and reflects budgetary and monetary policies. Christophe Bernard, Head of Investment Strategy at UBP, advocates being a shareholder instead of a debt holder, as long as monetary policy remains accommodative and corporate margins high. He recommends focusing on global firms with strong brands, high sustainable returns and exposure to emerging markets.<\/p>\n<p>UBP\u2019s investment strategy takes into account the prevailing major economic trends and reflects budgetary and monetary policies. Christophe Bernard, Head of Investment Strategy at UBP, advocates being a shareholder instead of a debt holder, as long as monetary policy remains accommodative and corporate margins high. He recommends focusing on global firms with strong brands, high sustainable returns and exposure to emerging markets.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Alternatives: hedge fund industry still nascent<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Interest in the alternative asset management industry is improving, as the tide is turning, with assets under management being close to an all-time high. Larry Morgenthal, CIO of Alternative Investments at UBP<br \/>\nAsset Management, believes that reports of the demise of hedge funds are premature. He is quite positive about the industry and believes hedge funds remain an attractive proposition: they provide diversification benefits and they have strong alpha generation potential.<\/p>\n<p>With respect to the various hedge fund strategies, Larry Morgenthal goes on to say, \u201cAllocating between hedge fund strategies is in some respects like dating \u2013 we have had a great relationship with credit, are<br \/>\nhaving an affair with long-short equity and think that emerging markets could be marriage material, while macro is like an old flame \u2013 not large in the picture now but one we expect to get back together with in the<br \/>\nfuture.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will it be better to invest in equities or bonds in 2011?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":15736,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1483],"tags":[1656,1663,1687,1655,1671,1676,1651,1785],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15738"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15738"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15738\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15738"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15738"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15738"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}