{"id":40905,"date":"2015-03-16T23:59:21","date_gmt":"2015-03-16T22:59:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/opinion\/the-broadening-impact-of-technology-on-society\/"},"modified":"2015-03-16T23:59:21","modified_gmt":"2015-03-16T22:59:21","slug":"the-broadening-impact-of-technology-on-society","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/opinion\/the-broadening-impact-of-technology-on-society\/","title":{"rendered":"The broadening impact of technology on society"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We believe that technology is at the start of a remarkable cycle that will see computing woven<br \/>\nincreasingly into the fabric of everyday life in more intimate yet unobtrusive ways. The excitement around<br \/>\nApple Watch, with its ability to capture biometric information, is an early indication of this future.<br \/>\nInnovation has the potential to reshape the boundaries of the IT business as we know it, creating<br \/>\nsignificant opportunities for investors to acquire long-term value in the process. You only have to look at<br \/>\nhow far technology has come since the bursting of the dot.com bubble in 2000 to appreciate its capacity<br \/>\nfor innovation and change. Indeed, the ensuing transformation has been felt not only in the IT industry,<br \/>\nbut also across the sectors it services and across society as a whole.<\/p>\n<p><quote>Since 2000, the number of internet users has risen eight-fold \u2013 from 361 million to over 3 billion in 2014. At the same time the speed of these Internet connections have gone from dial-up modems to high-speed<br \/>\nconnections capable of carrying high definition video. The smartphone market went from not even<br \/>\nexisting to selling over 1.2 billion units per year in 2014.<\/quote><\/p>\n<p>For the companies participating in this innovation the effects have been similarly profound and<br \/>\ntransformative. Fifteen years ago, many questioned whether Apple would survive as a going concern,<br \/>\nGoogle and Alibaba had just been formed and Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg was yet to graduate<br \/>\nfrom high school. Collectively these companies now account for USD 1.4 trillion in market capitalization<br \/>\nand generate nearly USD 90 billion in annual cashflow.<\/p>\n<p>Behind the statistics is an equally compelling story of behavioural change, best exemplified by the<br \/>\ninternet itself which has revolutionized the computer and communications world like nothing before. From<br \/>\nits origins as an obscure research project taken up by the US military in the 1960s, the internet has<br \/>\nbecome a global broadcasting platform, a mechanism to disseminate information, and a collaborative tool<br \/>\nthat facilitates interaction between individuals or organizations irrespective of geographic location. Tools<br \/>\nlike Google have democratized access to information while Facebook and Twitter have given voice to<br \/>\nhundreds of millions of people, sparking social revolutions.<\/p>\n<p><quote>We believe the next 15 years promise to be just as dynamic and lucrative as technology becomes<br \/>\nubiquitous and, increasingly, industry agnostic. So, what are the themes that will drive change and could,<br \/>\npotentially, create an Apple or Alibaba of this brave new cycle?<\/quote><\/p>\n<p>Antiquated computing architectures are starting to be replaced by alternatives with richer features sets,<br \/>\nhigher availability, and lower costs due to features like centralized Cloud Computing and Software as a<br \/>\nService. Declining chip prices and increasing functional capability are driving an explosion in the \u201cInternet<br \/>\nof Things\u201d, where intelligence is added to many every day devices, or personal items like as watches and<br \/>\njewellery. And, the \u201cIndustrial Internet\u201d means that automation is starting to enable advances like more<br \/>\nsecure payment systems for personal or corporate transactions, self-driving cars, and intelligent robots.<\/p>\n<p><quote>We believe that with these advances come great opportunities for investors. What is most encouraging<br \/>\nfor long-term investors is that the more mature technology companies are embracing policies that reflect<br \/>\nthe more traditional assessments of value, namely the return of cash to shareholders.<\/quote><\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, this should provide a life-cycle roadmap for today\u2019s innovative, faster growing technology<br \/>\ncompanies that may currently have depressed profitability due to investments in rapid expansion. In<br \/>\nshort, the heavy capital expenditures of the last cycle do not need to be repeated and companies are<br \/>\nnow leveraging this installed capex to deliver profitability and cash flow at an accelerated rate. <\/p>\n<p><strong>But the new cycle, like the one before it, brings risk as well as reward. For every Apple there is a<br \/>\nBlockbuster. While Steve Jobs and his team created a company with a market capitalization to rival the<br \/>\nGDP of some countries, the video rental store went into liquidation because it was on the wrong side of<br \/>\ndisruptive change that redefined its role and killed its market. At the same time, the risks associated with<br \/>\ntechnological innovation won\u2019t be just relegated to the stock market, where risk assessment and risk<br \/>\ntaking are expected. Many social questions will arise and new threats will have to be dealt with. Artificial<br \/>\nintelligence, robotics, self-driving cars, biotechnology, targeted medicine and many other innovations will<br \/>\nultimately impact all facets of our society. Ultimately, we believe successful investing in technology<br \/>\nmarkets requires not only a deep understanding of the technology itself, but a careful consideration of<br \/>\nthese social factors as well.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to Sebastian Thomas, Head of US technology research and portfolio manager at Allianz Global Investors, artificial intelligence, robotics, self-driving cars, biotechnology, targeted medicine and many other innovations will ultimately impact all facets of our society. He believes successful investing in technology markets requires not only a deep understanding of the technology itself, but a careful consideration of<br \/>\nthese social factors as well.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":40903,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1480],"tags":[1663,1655,1657,1651,1437,2117,2087,2068],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40905"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40905"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40905\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40903"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}