{"id":44722,"date":"2015-09-14T00:42:00","date_gmt":"2015-09-13T22:42:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/news\/event-driven-knocked-with-few-heavy-weight-funds\/"},"modified":"2015-09-14T00:42:00","modified_gmt":"2015-09-13T22:42:00","slug":"event-driven-knocked-with-few-heavy-weight-funds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/news\/event-driven-knocked-with-few-heavy-weight-funds\/","title":{"rendered":"Event Driven knocked with few heavy-weight funds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>The deflation and growth scares, which built up over the<br \/>\nsummer, accelerated following the CNY devaluation. They<br \/>\nmorphed into a vicious cycle in the last week of August.<\/strong> With<br \/>\nvolatility reaching 55 and equities plunging by the hour, Monday 24<br \/>\nwill from now on count among the major stress episodes used as<br \/>\nreference. The bulk of the Lyxor Hedge Fund index was endured<br \/>\nduring that week. Event Driven funds were the main losers. Return<br \/>\ndispersion was elevated. Losses in some heavy-weight funds hid<br \/>\ndecent performances among macro traders (CTAs and Global<br \/>\nMacro). A milder pressure on credit and govies supported credit<br \/>\nand fixed income arbitrage strategies. The L\/S Equity space<br \/>\nproved resilient apart from Asian and US long bias managers. <\/p>\n<p><strong>To the notable exception of Asian and US long bias funds, the<br \/>\nL\/S Equity strategy was remarkably resilient.<\/strong> Most funds had<br \/>\nsteadily reduced their net exposures over the summer, cautiously<br \/>\npositioned ahead of the sudden end-of-August debacle. In Europe,<br \/>\nVariable bias managers implemented efficient hedging strategies,<br \/>\nwith an increased number of single shorts. European managers,<br \/>\nwhich generally missed the reflation trade early this year, regained<br \/>\nall the lost ground over the summer. They even outperformed<br \/>\nmarket neutral strategies. In contrast, Lyxor Asian managers<br \/>\nsuffered in August, down -2% in aggregate. Their dramatic cut in<br \/>\nnet exposure since June (-10%) limited the damages. US Long<br \/>\nBias also took a major hit, losing most of their beta.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Event Driven funds were the main losers, with a severe plunge<br \/>\nacross the board.<\/strong> The aggregate Event Driven performance was<br \/>\nclose to flat before the last week of the month. Until then, some<br \/>\nlosses were recorded in China and Resources related exposures.<br \/>\nThey were offset by positive earnings releases in few large<br \/>\ncorporate situations and by the favorable closing of several M&#038;A<br \/>\ndeals. The last week of August unsettled both merger spreads and<br \/>\nthe pricing of corporate situations, including activist positions.<br \/>\nSpecial Situation underperformed Merger Arbitrage funds, even<br \/>\nadjusted from their market beta. The sudden widening of deal<br \/>\nspreads and the depressed valuation levels of corporate situations<br \/>\nwill probably open a phase of recovery going forward.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Lyxor L\/S Credit Arbitrage index was only down -1.5%.<br \/>\nThe market turmoil infected credit markets but less than equities.<\/strong><br \/>\nSpreads had already meaningfully widened over the recent<br \/>\nmonths. This kept managers on a very cautious footing, positioned<br \/>\non high quality and high grade issues, with increased<br \/>\ndiversification. As dispersion returned in the space, short<br \/>\nopportunities also emerged &#8211; and not only in the energy segment.<br \/>\nIn particular weakening cross credit correlations provided fixed<br \/>\nincome arbitrage funds with greater relative value opportunities.<br \/>\nThe alpha produced by Credit strategies alleviated the adverse<br \/>\nbeta contribution.<\/p>\n<p><strong>High dispersion among CTAs in August.<\/strong> CTAs were up nearly<br \/>\n+1% before the last week of August. With their long bond and USD<br \/>\npositions along with their short commodities exposures, they were<br \/>\nwell hedged against the various risks being priced in. In particular:<br \/>\na slower global growth, a slower Fed normalization and the<br \/>\nChinese ripple effects on EM countries and resources. During the<br \/>\nlast week, a majority of funds remained reasonably resilient.<br \/>\nHowever some heavy weight funds were substantially hurt on their<br \/>\nremaining long equity holdings and on some of their long USD<br \/>\ncrosses. ST models outperformed thanks to a faster portfolio<br \/>\nrepositioning. We observe that, in aggregate, LT models cut their<br \/>\nabout 30% net equity exposure down to less than 10% over that<br \/>\nweek. <\/p>\n<p><strong>Heterogeneous returns among Global Macro, with losses in<br \/>\nheavy weights.<\/strong> Until the last week of August the strategy remained<br \/>\nresilient, with a slightly positive MTD return. While cautiously<br \/>\nexposed to risky assets, their hedges had little efficiency in the selloff.<br \/>\nThey were essentially hit in their equity and long USD positions,<br \/>\nwith limited cushion from bonds or safe havens. However, losses<br \/>\nin large macro funds actually hide a more heterogeneous and<br \/>\nfavorable picture. After the sell-off, Lyxor Global Macro funds were<br \/>\non average 10% net long on equities (from 15% early August), with<br \/>\nmore than half of their equity positions in Europe. They continue to<br \/>\nplay commodities mostly in relative value. Overall they remain long<br \/>\nUSD, especially against EUR and GBP. <\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cBeyond a possible near-term rally, we expect moderate and<br \/>\nriskier returns from traditional assets. Thus, we continue to<br \/>\nstrengthen our focus on hedge funds\u2019 relative value approaches.\u201d<\/em><br \/>\nsays Jean-Marc Stenger, Chief Investment Officer for Alternative<br \/>\nInvestments at Lyxor AM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Lyxor Hedge Fund Index was down -2.7% in August. 1 out<br \/>\nof 12 Lyxor Indices ended the month in positive territory. The Lyxor<br \/>\nConvertible Arbitrage Index (+3.3%), the Lyxor L\/S Equity Variable<br \/>\nBias Index (-0.7%), and the Lyxor L\/S Equity Market Neutral Index<br \/>\n(-1.1%) were the best performers. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":44720,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1470],"tags":[1687,1655,1723,1690,1651,1662,2243,1672],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44722"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44722"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44722\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44720"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44722"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44722"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44722"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}