{"id":46047,"date":"2015-11-03T02:02:00","date_gmt":"2015-11-03T01:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/strategie\/risk-concentration-stronger-than-risk-perception\/"},"modified":"2019-12-31T00:16:51","modified_gmt":"2019-12-30T23:16:51","slug":"risk-concentration-stronger-than-risk-perception","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/strategie\/risk-concentration-stronger-than-risk-perception\/","title":{"rendered":"Risk concentration stronger than risk perception"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The risk concentration index (RCI[[ICR, calculated here on a 25-day sliding basis, measures the percentage variance explained by the first five components of a PCA applied to asset yields for a diversified portfolio.]]) for a diversified portfolio had been on a downtrend since the start of 2014. The latest risk aversion spell has brought this to an end.<br \/>\nThis index, which measures the diversity of risk sources, peaked when markets were mainly guided by the perception of the Chinese risk and by the re-emergence of a systematic risk. <\/p>\n<blockquote><p> This evolution reflects a tarrying up in the sources of diversification, as underlined by the information indices for the different asset classes in recent months.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.next-finance.net\/http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" aligncenter size-full wp-image-46043\" src=\"IMG\/jpg\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio.jpg\" alt=\"risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio.jpg\" align=\"center\" width=\"1090\" height=\"407\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Regarding more particularly the equity market, the degree of concentration reached a particularly high level in<br \/>\nAugust in both developed and emerging countries.<\/p>\n<p>Since then, a downtrend has set in and looks set to continue in coming months. The divergence in the economic<br \/>\ncycles and in monetary policies within developed economies, more than ever in evidence, should see the degree of<br \/>\nconcentration in developed equity markets decline to much lower levels, much as observed at the end of 2014 and<br \/>\nthe start of 2015. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.next-finance.net\/http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" aligncenter size-full wp-image-46045\" src=\"IMG\/jpg\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets.jpg\" alt=\"rci_-_developed_equity_markets.jpg\" align=\"center\" width=\"1085\" height=\"383\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><quote>The return to more moderate levels of risk concentration has been even swifter in recent weeks in the case of<br \/>\nemerging equities. The recent decline of the RPI for the commodity markets is not foreign to this development,<br \/>\nhighlighting a finer differentiation in the case of commodity-exporting emerging economies.<\/quote><\/p>\n<p><strong>The context is much as it was at the end of 2014 and start of 2015 and should be characterised by a reduction in risk<br \/>\nconcentration between assets classes and between assets of the same class (geographical arbitrages), while the<br \/>\nidiosyncratic risk (in evidence before China caused the market to switch back to risk off mode) should stage a<br \/>\ncomeback. <\/strong> <div id='gallery-1' class='gallery galleryid-46047 gallery-columns-3 gallery-size-herald-lay-c1'><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"herald-popup\" href='http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio.jpg'><img width=\"470\" height=\"313\" src=\"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio-470x313.jpg\" class=\"attachment-herald-lay-c1 size-herald-lay-c1\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio-470x313.jpg 470w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio-300x200.jpg 300w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio-414x276.jpg 414w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio-130x86.jpg 130w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/risk_perception_and_risk_concentration_for_diversified_portfolio-187x124.jpg 187w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 470px) 100vw, 470px\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/figure><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"herald-popup\" href='http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets.jpg'><img width=\"470\" height=\"313\" src=\"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets-470x313.jpg\" class=\"attachment-herald-lay-c1 size-herald-lay-c1\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets-470x313.jpg 470w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets-300x200.jpg 300w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets-414x276.jpg 414w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets-130x86.jpg 130w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/rci_-_developed_equity_markets-187x124.jpg 187w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 470px) 100vw, 470px\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/figure>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The risk concentration index (RCI) for a diversified portfolio had been on a downtrend since the start of 2014. The<br \/>\nlatest risk aversion spell has brought this to an end. This index, which measures the diversity of risk sources, peaked<br \/>\nwhen markets were mainly guided by the perception of the Chinese risk and by the re-emergence of a systematic<br \/>\nrisk. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46043,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1483],"tags":[1663,1809,1856,1671,1657,1676,1651,1807,2103,2068],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46047"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46047"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46047\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46048,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46047\/revisions\/46048"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46043"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}