{"id":60969,"date":"2017-02-27T01:05:00","date_gmt":"2017-02-27T00:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/opinion\/riding-a-global-earnings-upswing\/"},"modified":"2019-12-31T01:46:06","modified_gmt":"2019-12-31T00:46:06","slug":"riding-a-global-earnings-upswing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/opinion\/riding-a-global-earnings-upswing\/","title":{"rendered":"Riding a global earnings upswing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Upbeat global earnings are confirming that the benefits of reflation ? rising<br \/>\nwages, growth and inflation ? are spreading beyond the U.S. We see room for<br \/>\nmore upside for corporate profits, especially in Europe and Japan.<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.next-finance.net\/http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\" aligncenter size-full wp-image-60967\" src=\"IMG\/jpg\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017.jpg\" alt=\"changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017.jpg\" align=\"center\" width=\"693\" height=\"612\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nAnalysts have become increasingly upbeat about corporate earnings in Japan,<br \/>\nemerging markets and Europe since late 2016. Earnings estimates have been<br \/>\nrevised up in these markets, and lowered slightly in the U.S., as the chart shows. Japan leads the crowd.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Here to stay: earnings momentum<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Global earnings are collectively posting some of their best performance since the end of the financial crisis. We expect this trend to<br \/>\nextend as world growth gains momentum. Our BlackRock GPS, which offers an early peek at the likely evolution of growth<br \/>\nexpectations for key economies, signals upside surprises for Japan, France and Germany. We believe this growth will translate into<br \/>\neven stronger earnings in these markets over coming quarters, similar to the U.S. experience in the second half of 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Japan\u2019s earnings are particularly impressive. The December quarter pre-tax profits rose 11% on the year to the highest level in a decade.<br \/>\nThe rebound in commodity prices, a softer euro and stronger economic growth are setting European earnings on course for the best<br \/>\nquarter since 2011. But investors are just warming up to Japanese and European shares ? one reason we favor both over the U.S. Our<br \/>\nanalysis shows few signs of overly bullish positions on Japanese and European equities, suggesting more room for investors to step in.<\/p>\n<p>Two sector trends stand out globally: Steeper yield curves and improving net interest margins have boosted profits for global<br \/>\nfinancials, while long-term demand trends have lifted technology revenues. Management sentiment, which BlackRock\u2019s Scientific<br \/>\nActive Equity team captures by text mining company conference calls, reflects an upbeat and improving outlook in these sectors.<div id='gallery-1' class='gallery galleryid-60969 gallery-columns-3 gallery-size-herald-lay-c1'><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"herald-popup\" href='http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017.jpg'><img width=\"470\" height=\"313\" src=\"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017-470x313.jpg\" class=\"attachment-herald-lay-c1 size-herald-lay-c1\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017-470x313.jpg 470w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017-300x200.jpg 300w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017-414x276.jpg 414w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017-640x426.jpg 640w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017-130x86.jpg 130w, http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/changes_in_earnings_estimates_2012-2017-187x124.jpg 187w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 470px) 100vw, 470px\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/figure>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Upbeat global earnings are confirming that the benefits of reflation ? rising<br \/>\nwages, growth and inflation ? are spreading beyond the U.S. We see room for<br \/>\nmore upside for corporate profits, especially in Europe and Japan. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":60967,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1480],"tags":[1655,2073,1943,1651,2214,2087,1776,2068],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60969"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=60969"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60969\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60970,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60969\/revisions\/60970"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/60967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=60969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=60969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=60969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}