{"id":67642,"date":"2017-12-12T03:42:00","date_gmt":"2017-12-12T02:42:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/opinion\/2018-outlook-75-of-institutional-investors-say-current-environment-favors-active-management\/"},"modified":"2017-12-12T03:42:00","modified_gmt":"2017-12-12T02:42:00","slug":"2018-outlook-75-of-institutional-investors-say-current-environment-favors-active-management","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/opinion\/2018-outlook-75-of-institutional-investors-say-current-environment-favors-active-management\/","title":{"rendered":"2018 Outlook: 75% of institutional investors say current environment favors active management"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On<br \/>\nthe other hand, allocations to passive slide for the third year in a row, according to a new study released today<br \/>\nby Natixis Investment Managers. <\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>  Allocations to passive strategies decline for third consecutive year; 75% believe the current<br \/>\nmarket environment favors active management<\/li>\n<li>  72% are surprised volatility has been so low for so long, but geopolitical risks and asset<br \/>\nbubbles are institutional investors\u2019 the top concerns<\/li>\n<li>  Alternative assets overshadow bonds as investors shift to Europe &#038; emerging markets;<br \/>\nTechnology, healthcare, aerospace and financial sectors seen as top outperformers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>To position their portfolios for the volatility they expect as central banks gradually remove the monetary life<br \/>\nsupport system in place since the financial crisis, they are also increasing allocations to non-traditional assets,<br \/>\nincluding private equity, private debt, infrastructure and real estate, as they seek alternatives to bonds and hunt<br \/>\nfor higher returns in a crowded market.<\/p>\n<p><quote>The survey found 59% believe that volatility has been artificially suppressed by flows into passive investment<br \/>\nstrategies. More than half (57%) believe the increase in passive investing is distorting relative stock prices and<br \/>\ncreating systemic market risks (63%), of which 72% believe individual investors aren\u2019t yet aware.<\/quote><\/p>\n<p>Jean-Fran\u00e7ois Baralon, Head of Distribution for France, French-speaking Switzerland and Monaco at<br \/>\nNatixis Investment Managers, comments, <em>\u201cInstitutional investors around the globe are wary of fragile market<br \/>\nconditions, distorted asset prices and systemic risks caused by central bank interventions and the growing<br \/>\npopularity of passive investments, and they continue to turn to active management to manage current market<br \/>\nconditions. They are confident their own portfolios are built to weather future market conditions, but warn that<br \/>\nindividual investors are not aware of the systemic market risks posed by passive investing.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Navigating active markets<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Comparing passive and active approaches directly, a 57% majority say active managers outperform passive in<br \/>\nthe long run. Three-quarters of institutions (75%) say active managers are better at accessing emerging market<br \/>\nopportunities \u2013 and a similar proportion (74%) say active managers provide better exposure to non-correlated<br \/>\nasset classes.<\/p>\n<p>Jean-Fran\u00e7ois Baralon continues,<em> \u201cManaging downside risks will be more of a challenge in 2018 \u2013 but the<br \/>\nNew Year should also be seen as an opportunity. Volatility can boost returns for those able to take advantage;<br \/>\nhowever institutions without a truly diverse and durable portfolio risk reacting to market corrections and volatility<br \/>\n\u2013 rather than profiting from such movements. Markets look set for a more lively and volatile 2018, and active<br \/>\nmarkets will therefore demand far more active thinking.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Asset bubbles and equity volatility<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>An overwhelming three-quarters of institutions (77%) believe a prolonged period of low interest rates has led to<br \/>\nthe creation of asset bubbles. Moreover, looking ahead, 62% of institutional investors see interest rate rises as<br \/>\nthe top portfolio concern for 2018 \u2013 a potential trigger for a correction in fixed income values.<\/p>\n<p><quote>The survey also found asset bubbles rival geopolitical events \u2013 a concern for 74% following recent events \u2013 and<br \/>\nasset bubbles rank ahead of interest rate increases (61%) as the factor institutions believe will have the most<br \/>\nnegative impact on their investment performance in 2018.<\/quote><\/p>\n<p>Yet renewed volatility (rather than a sustained correction) is set to be the main feature for equities in 2018: an<br \/>\noverwhelming 78% of institutions expect an increase in equity volatility next year. Looking back on the absence<br \/>\nof volatility this year, a majority of institutional investors (59%) believe this is unsustainable and is in fact a<br \/>\ncause for serious concern.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The hunt for diversification<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Institutional investors are placing greater faith in both equities and uncorrelated, alternative investments to help<br \/>\nthem ride out such market challenges. Almost two-thirds (64%) say fixed income is no longer providing its<br \/>\ntraditional risk management role in portfolios, while 60% of institutions now believe traditional assets in general<br \/>\nare too highly correlated to provide distinctive sources of return.<\/p>\n<p>By contrast 78% say increasing the use of alternatives is an effective way to manage risk. Within alternatives,<br \/>\nthere is also an appetite for illiquidity, as 74% believe potential returns make such investments worth the risk<br \/>\nassociated with fixed timeframes. Private equity is the most popular example with 39% of institutions increasing<br \/>\ntheir private equity investments \u2013 and two-thirds (67%) are satisfied with the performance of private equity<br \/>\ninvestments in their portfolio.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of sector picks: more institutions (45%) expect the technology sector to outperform the market in 2018<br \/>\nabove any other sector, followed by healthcare (44%), defense\/aerospace (43%) and financials (41%).<\/p>\n<p>In direct competition to fixed income, more than three quarters of institutional investors now say that private<br \/>\ndebt provides higher risk-adjusted returns than fixed income vehicles \u2013 and 36% of institutions are currently<br \/>\nincreasing their private debt holdings.<\/p>\n<p>A longer-term view on the sustainability of returns is also emerging. Three-in-five (60%) institutions now say<br \/>\nincorporating Environmental and Social Governance (ESG) practices will be standard for all managers within<br \/>\nthe next five years. This appears to be for practical purposes as much as moral; a similar majority (59%) say<br \/>\nthere is alpha to be found in ESG investing.<\/p>\n<p>Jean-Fran\u00e7ois Baralon concludes, <em>\u201cInstitutional investors worldwide are steeling themselves for the possible<br \/>\nemergence \u2013 and correction \u2013 of asset bubbles, alongside interest rate hikes and increased volatility. Beyond<br \/>\nthe traditional interplay of fixed income and equities, we\u2019re also seeing many institutional investors seek refuge<br \/>\nin alternative investment strategies, as they look to protect and diversify their portfolios while also generating<br \/>\nsatisfactory returns. Instead of the long-standing hunt for yield, we are seeing an emerging scrutiny of portfolios<br \/>\n\u2013 and a new hunt for diversification.\u201d <\/em> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two-thirds of institutional investors worldwide (65%) expect asset bubbles to negatively impact performance in<br \/>\n2018 and three out of every four (75%) believe the current market environment favors active management.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":67640,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1480],"tags":[1809,1655,1659,1651,2087,2068,1678],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67642"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=67642"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/67642\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67640"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=67642"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=67642"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=67642"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}