{"id":84279,"date":"2019-12-09T01:47:34","date_gmt":"2019-12-09T00:47:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/strategie\/trump-trumped-will-fundamentals-win-the-day-in-2020\/"},"modified":"2019-12-09T01:47:34","modified_gmt":"2019-12-09T00:47:34","slug":"trump-trumped-will-fundamentals-win-the-day-in-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/strategie\/trump-trumped-will-fundamentals-win-the-day-in-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump trumped: will fundamentals win the day in 2020?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Taking a step back, there are several factors investors are concerned about from British politics<br \/>\nand the Brexit process to Donald Trump, threats of impeachment, the 2020 US election race<br \/>\nand global trade tensions. And, all the while, there is a growing consensus that the global<br \/>\neconomy is slowing. <\/p>\n<p>However, whilst we do keep an eye on these issues, we prefer to evaluate company<br \/>\nfundamentals and trends without being too hamstrung by the global headlines. There will<br \/>\nalways be wars and worries and 2020 is no different, but as renowned author Nassim Taleb<br \/>\nsaid: <em>\u201ctrust none of what you hear, some of what you read, and half of what you see.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Above all else, it is our conviction in digitalisation as a major structural change that we think<br \/>\nwill define performance over the long-term. We will continue to focus on investing in companies<br \/>\nthat are disrupting the industry, investing heavily in their IT systems, shifting business models<br \/>\ntowards digitalisation, implementing data analytics and cyber security and building ecosystems. Companies that can fine tune their offering to deliver seamless, low cost solutions to<br \/>\nboth their existing clients and the new generation of tech savvy customers will likely dominate.<br \/>\nImportantly, this is just the start \u2013 financial innovation is a long-term structural tailwind still in<br \/>\nits formative stages. For example, the use of cash in the UK is on the decline and by 2026 it is<br \/>\npredicted cash will be used for just 21% of transactions down from 62% in 2006. In the US,<br \/>\n62% of people think that they may see the death of cash within their lifetime while internet<br \/>\nadoption is rapidly increasing accessibility to mobile banking in regions such as India, opening<br \/>\nup services to those previously \u2018unbanked\u2019. Add to this an environment of low interest rates<br \/>\nand the outlook for digitalisation becomes even more compelling. <\/p>\n<p>At a macro-economic level, we remain focused on central bank policy as their actions have a<br \/>\ndirect impact on financial companies. How the central bankers play their cards depends largely<br \/>\non how Western governments, in particular, react to a slowing global economy. In 2020, it is<br \/>\nquite possible we will see the current US administration announce a package of fiscal stimulus<br \/>\nmeasures in order to kickstart a US economy where growth has begun to stall. If this happens,<br \/>\nit is likely Europe will follow suit especially given the European Central Bank\u2019s (ECB) recent<br \/>\ncall urging euro zone members to adopt expansionary fiscal policies. Such policies would<br \/>\nstimulate the global economy, but also prompt a rise in inflation expectations, potentially<br \/>\nresulting in the yield curve righting itself to a more traditional upwardly sloping shape. This<br \/>\nwould be beneficial for banks, financials and fintechs as they are once again able to benefit<br \/>\nfrom the spread between short term and long-term rates. <\/p>\n<p>Overall, we are confident backing the companies taking technology seriously as we enter the<br \/>\nnew year. We believe that we will best serve clients by investing in the companies of the future;<br \/>\nthe enablers and adopters creating and using cutting-edge, world-changing financial<br \/>\ntechnologies that we think will flourish over the long-term. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When looking ahead to next year it is easy to focus on the many uncertainties around the<br \/>\nworld, but we prefer to focus on what we consider a certainty: the continued, rapid digitalisation<br \/>\nof the financial services industry. We have already seen huge disruption on this front in the last<br \/>\nfive to ten years and we expect this to continue creating new investment opportunities through<br \/>\nthe next decade and beyond.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84277,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1483],"tags":[1663,1655,1651,1437,1807,2068],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84279"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84279"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84279\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84277"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84279"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84279"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/beta.next-finance.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84279"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}